Based on collected Linden Research's Grid Status data, an analysis of Residents concurrently online (RCO) and total Residents (TR) was performed for every hour of the last 7 months.
Between August 2006 and March 2007, the daily average of RCO quadrupled from 6,000 to 24,000. This growth was correlated (coefficient of 0.75) with the standard deviation of RCO, as measured during the course of a day (from 1,500 to 5,500). In the same time, TR grew twice as fast (factor of 8.8) from 450,000 to 4 million.
Forecasts using fitted second-degree polynomial trends projected a daily average of 150,000 RCO and 25 million TR in one year from now (March 2008).
A critical note on the unit of analysis: Linden Research defines a Resident as "a uniquely named avatar with the right to log into Second Life, trade Linden Dollars and visit the Community pages" -- an account, basically. As with most website user accounts, several Residents might belong to one person. And, as with most website user accounts as well, an account remains in existence even without a certain degree of user activity. Therefore, Second Life Residents statistics are neither more nor less meaningful than other websites' user account statistics.
08 March, 2007
Second Life Residents Statistics
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2 comments:
Good work... shows the growth, but can you give data on the number of concurrent users, it is not likely to be the same as the total amount of residents
or do i miss something?
Thank you. Are you refering to the discrepancy between Second Life Residents vs. real-world persons or growth vs. absolute numbers? For the first, I don't have an answer (I wonder, if Linden Research has one). For the latter, I would like to point out that the chart actually shows absolute numbers (of daily lowest/highest/average concurrent Residents and daily highest total Residents).
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